INDEX
1611 ENTRIES · UPDATED 2026.09.30
1525
Gold Price Outlook: Speed Bump Seems Unlikely to Deter Dip MentalityThe daily chart shows a solid rally from 4,000 support, although resistance was met around a prior weekly VPOC (volume point of control), just below 4,500. A bearish outside day engulfed Tuesday’s small doji and Wednesday’s small bullish candle, but so far, support has held aroun
2026.08.131526
BusinessNZ Manufacturing SnapshotThe Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) may have fallen in July, but remains firmly in expansionary territory at 54.3 on a seasonally adjusted basis. This returns the PMI close to its levels at the start of the year, before the onset of conflict in the Middle East and the su
2026.08.131527
US Dollar Rally Is Missing the Volume Confirmation a Lasting Trend NeedsVolume behind the current US dollar index advance is falling rather than rising, and the dollar rally therefore lacks the volume confirmation a lasting trend needs. Volume confirmation is the test of whether a rally has buyers behind it, since a genuine trend attracts participati
2026.08.131528
Trump imposes 100% tariff on certain size dronesWithin the past 90 days, the Secretary of Commerce (Secretary) transmitted to me a report on his investigation into the effects of imports of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), as well as their parts and components (together, UAS components), on the national security of the United
2026.08.131529
US Dollar-yuan becomes Hong Kong's most-traded currency pair for first timeDollar-yuan becomes Hong Kong'sThe U.S. dollar-Chinese yuan has become the most-traded currency pair in Hong Kong, surpassing the Hong Kong dollar-U.S. dollar for the first time in April, the financial hub's Treasury Markets Association said. Average daily foreign exchange tur
2026.08.131530
Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY Nears 160 But is that the Line in the Sand?USD/JPY is up more than 400 pips from the lows of last week, and bulls are tip-toeing back into the pair. While there hasn’t been an emphatic breakout yet, there has been ardent defense of support and of recent that’s come in at higher-lows. This sets up for a dangerous backdrop,
2026.08.131531
Rates Spark: The yen link to US TreasuriesThere is a clear impulse running from the recent Japanese yen intervention saga to interest rate markets. We assert that prior JPY weakness is a manifestation of tension stemming from an uber-cautious Bank of Japan and a policy rate that remains too low. On our updated calculatio
2026.08.131532
What is the Texas ratio?In the 1980s, Texas had a banking crisis whose causes included shocks in oil prices and real estate investments. In response, Gerard Cassidy of the Royal Bank of Canada developed the Texas ratio metric to assess a bank’s credit risk in that state. The Texas ratio measures a bank’
2026.08.131533
50% Chance US Retail Sales Expanded For 6th Consecutive Month in Tomorrow’s PrintThere’s a 50% chance that data tomorrow will show that retail sales expanded for the sixth consecutive month as consumer spending continues to be bolstered by subdued unemployment and buoyant capital markets. After growing 0.2% month over month in June, the “Yes” contract with a
2026.08.131534
EUR/USD Churns but Bulls Have So Far Held the LineEUR/USD has held at some interesting levels, at least, as the volatility that showed up to weeks ago has taken a back seat to back-and-forth price action. And while it’s difficult to say that the largest component of the USD basket is probably being driven by the second largest c
2026.08.131535
US Treasury Auction Resultstable
2026.08.131536
Trump pivots to economic squeeze of ‘entrenched’ Iran regimeThe US military campaign against Iran has so far failed to force the regime to capitulate. The Trump administration is betting once again that suffocating economic pressure will do the job. Facing a shortfall of necessary munitions and wary of continuing an unpopular war, Trump a
2026.08.13