INDEX

1621 ENTRIES · UPDATED 2026.09.30
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949 The U.S. economy faces mounting headwinds. Here are the biggest risks.The U.S. economy has remained resilient over the past two years despite a slowing labor market, trade wars and resurgent inflation, but economists are now warning that a convergence of new and lingering threats could test its strength. The "worry list is growing more worrisome," 2026.09.14950 USD/JPY: Has Buy the Dip Turned into Sell the Rip?USD/JPY was my third top chart for this week and if we do see a continued sell-off in the pair, there could be consequences elsewhere. We caught a glimpse of this back in July of 2024, when a cascading USD/JPY with a carry trade unwinding hit many levered trades, such as tech sto 2026.09.14951 The Dollar into the FOMCI’m quite worried about this week. There’s all the uncertainty around oil prices after the attack on the East-West pipeline, which injects an element of unpredictability into how markets are going to move. I’m in the camp that the shock to global oil supply is small, as I outline 2026.09.14952 Breakfast briefing: Markets demand rate rises to fight inflationIn the US a full +25 bps is now priced in for Thursday's US Fed review which would take their policy rate to 4.0%. In Japan, a full +25 bps is also priced in, taking theirs to 1.25%. If one or both don't deliver these rises where will be strong financial market reactions. And the 2026.09.14953 Oil Surges as Saudi Pipeline Shutdown Brings Fresh Supply RiskOil surged as Saudi Arabia’s closure of a major crude pipeline following attacks jolted the market, with the move disrupting a route that’s been key to bypassing the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Iran war. Bloomberg's Rob Barnett joins to discuss. 2026.09.14954 USD/JPY Grinds Higher ahead of FOMC, AUD/JPY Clings to SupportFed hike expectations have firmed sharply ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision, helping the US dollar retain a bid and USD/JPY recover from last week’s selloff. Meanwhile, AUD/JPY is testing a major support cluster after falling more than 4.6% in two weeks, raising the prospect of 2026.09.14955 US: Cornered into a hike?Underlying domestic demand remains strong, likely reinforcing hawkish concerns about the risk of demand-driven inflation pressures. Second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 1.5% annualized from 2.1%, largely reflecting weaker net exports, inventory accumulation and government spending 2026.09.15956 Canada’s economy gains ground despite trade and energy headwindsWe remain cautiously optimistic the Canadian economy will improve on a per-person basis despite re-escalated trade risks and persistently high energy prices. Trade tensions with the United States have ramped up again, and energy prices have climbed higher as conflict in the Middl 2026.09.15957 China: National Economy Remained Steady with Innovation-Led and High-Quality Development in AugustIn August, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments fully implemented the decisions and arrangements made by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered 2026.09.15958 US dollar near two-week high as oil surge lifts yields, Fed hike betsThe dollar inched up to trade near a two-week high on Tuesday as surging oil prices lifted Treasury yields and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this week. It also gained support as risk appetite weakened after stock markets tumbled, with 2026.09.15959 China Stats Bureau: Economy demonstrates robust resilience and vitality despite challenging external environmentChina statistics bureau: China's economy demonstrates robust resilience and vitality despite challenging external environment 2026.09.15960 China’s August retail sales miss forecast while investment slump deepens, piling pressure on BeijingChina’s investment slump deepened and retail sales growth slowed further in August while industrial output topped estimates with authorities warning of acute supply-demand imbalance at home. Retail sales grew 0.4% in August from a year earlier, data from National Bureau of Statis 2026.09.15

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