INDEX

1575 ENTRIES · UPDATED 2026.09.29
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721 NAB Monthly Business Survey, August 2026Business confidence fell for the second consecutive month to -8 index points and remains well below the long-run average of 5 index points. Despite recovering much of the initial fall driven by the Middle East conflict, business confidence remains ~7pts lower than its February (p 2026.09.08722 UK retail sales growth slows to 4-month low in August, BRC saysBritish retail sales growth slowed to a four-month low in August as a surge driven by record-hot weather earlier in the summer faded, figures from the British Retail Consortium trade body showed on Tuesday. The BRC said that total retail sales grew ​by an annual 0.7% in August, d 2026.09.08723 Japan, US remain aligned on FX policy to foster stable markets, Katayama saysJapanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday that Tokyo and Washington remain aligned in their approach to currency markets and will continue close communication to ensure orderly foreign exchange movements. "Our policy stance has not changed at all since the Japan- 2026.09.08724 Gold gains as US dollar eases with US inflation data on radarGold prices climbed on ​Tuesday as the US dollar slipped, with focus on upcoming inflation data that could shape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. Spot gold was up 0.6% at $4,429.89 per ounce, as of 0208 GMT. US gold futures for December delivery ​were litt 2026.09.08725 German exports in July 2026: -0.8% on June 2026In July 2026, German exports were down 0.8% and imports dropped 5.7% on a calendar and seasonally adjusted basis compared with June 2026. Compared with July 2025, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) further reports that exports increased by 6.1% and imports rose by 3.0%, ba 2026.09.08726 French trade balance is deteriorating due to an increase in importsIn July 2026, the trade balance deteriorated by €0.9 billion to -€6.7 billion, following the improvement observed in June (+€1.9 billion). This change was driven by an increase in imports (+€1.1 billion), slightly offset by moderate growth in exports (+€0.2 billion). The rise in 2026.09.08727 Iran threatens US with new 'economic warfare' and missiles as Houthis attack Saudi ArabiaIran threatened the United States with “economic warfare” on Tuesday and said it had fired an advanced missile at US warships, underscoring the risks of further escalation in the war only days after both sides traded blows again. The six-month-old war has been marked by a cycle o 2026.09.08728 Rates Spark: Growth disappointments would still build a bullish caseWhile US markets closed for the Labor Day holiday on Monday, pressure on EUR rates continued to build at the short end as geopolitical headlines pushed up oil prices. The 2y Bund yield is back to 3%, nearing the peaks of last week. Energy prices remain an area where EUR rates are more sensitive than their US counterparts. But it is worth remembering that ... 2026.09.08729 Canada’s retaliatory tariffs worth $27.6 billion take effect as trade rift with U.S. deepensCanada’s retaliatory tariffs on a swathe of U.S. goods took effect on Tuesday after trade talks collapsed last month, as relations between Washington and Ottawa continue to sour. The duties range from 15% to 50% across $27.6 billion worth of U.S. products, including dairy, agricu 2026.09.08730 USD/CHF: US Dollar Continues to See SupportAlthough the USD/CHF pair is somewhat quiet at the moment, there is still a significant amount of support below in this pair. The US dollar is somewhat quiet against the Swiss franc during the trading session on Monday, as the Americans are away for Labor Day. This is a pair that 2026.09.08731 US NFIB: Main Street Optimism Cools in August but Holds Above Long-Term AverageThe Small Business Optimism Index for August was 98.7, down 1.1 points from July’s highest level since August 2025. The Index remains above its 52-year average of 98.0. Of the 10 Optimism Index components, two increased, six decreased, and two were unchanged. A worsening of expec 2026.09.08732 Yen Short Squeeze Runs into Middle East War EscalationThe yen’s surge that began in the middle of last week continued today. The greenback fell from above JPY160 to a little below JPY153 today, its lowest level in seven months. There still is no evidence of official intervention. The swaps market continues to price a hike next week 2026.09.08

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